The Jacobite risings, also called the Jacobite Rebellion took place between 1745 and 1746. In this essay, we discuss the events that led to the rebellion, including the retreat and aftermath. To understand this better, we shall also focus on the kings that were in power during the revolt or those that largely contributed to the uprising. A prominent name in the history of Jacobite Risings is Bonnie Prince Charlie, a grandson of King James, who was dethroned in from British monarch in 1688 by William through a plan by politicians, as he supported.
King James had strong support for Catholicism, a stance that most politicians of his country did not buy. Initially, Parliament proposed that William and Mary to serve in acting capacity until James Francis Stuart attained maturity, a proposal that William from Holland vehemently rejected and threatened to return to his country. Because of the fear of a power vacuum, parliament recognized William and Mary as the monarchs, sowing the seeds of Jacobite Revolutions. Jacobite was coined from the Latin equivalent for James- Jacobus.
The 1745 Jacobite uprisings are famous in the history of Britain. Around that time, Charles sailed to Scotland, even though he had to overcome an array of challenges. Because of the stories he got, Charles was worried about an uprising because of his presence and only sent letters to his father about his plans to travel. On July 23, 1745, he landed at Hebridean Island, with Seven Men of Moidart. There he planted the Prince’s flower, which to-date, is only found in Scotland and nowhere else in the world.
Following Charles’ arrival in Scotland, highland chiefs were not ready to join him, since he did not sail with an army from France. The first chief t join him was Ranald McDonald before others followed. Charles status rose on August 19, when more than 1500 people assembled to hear from him though more chiefs remain reluctant to join him. Tales however about his enthusiasm and charm attracted more chiefs who heard the testimonies. Additionally, Campbells decision to gather consolidate support for government forces also compelled other clans and individuals to join the Jacobite cause.
Having marshaled an army, Prince Charles went across Scotland, reaching Perth in September, where he stayed at the Salutation Hotel. He was joined by Lord George Murray, who later became a lieutenant in the Jacobite Army. While in Perth, the Prince visited Scone, where most of his ancestors had been sworn into office. The Jacobite army entered Edinburg on September 21under Sir John Cope, awaiting reinforcement. Under the command of Lord George Murray, the Jacobites attacked the south by surprise at Prestonpans. Even though the battle lasted for only 15 minutes, Jacobites achieved psychological morale.
Prince Charles crossed the English border with 5500 men and by December 4, they were at Derby, 120 miles from London. Here, they experienced harsh winter weather and faced an attack of 12,000 men of Hanoverian Army, which had the southern support. This forced Charles to retreat. On January 17 1746, Jacobite and Hanoverian armies clashed near Falkirk, with the witty and tactful Lord George Murray leading the Highlanders to inflict causalities on their opponents, forcing them to leaven in confusion. Importantly, Jacobite Army never lost any battle between Glenfinnan to Falkirk.
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The Glorious Revolution took place in 1688 and is sometimes referred to as the 1688 Revolution. The revolt ended the rule of James II, ushering in the sovereignty of William III and Mary II. It occurred after James II declared his intentions to reinstall Roman Catholicism as the national religion. Many people remember the constant dislocation of the English Civil War owing to the stability of Charles II at the time. During this time, most people were not willing to see the country in unstable state of turmoil and endless military conflict.
Because of James II policies and leadership style, there was enough discontent in the Tory and Whig parties. This displeasure forced main politicians to invite William of Orange, a Protestant to come and take the leadership of the country by dethroning James II. Important to note, William’s wife, Mary was the daughter of James II and granddaughter of Charles I. Following the invitation by leading politicians, William arrived in Devon in November of 1688, forcing James to fly to France on December 23, 1688. James’ departure left a leadership vacuum and in January 1689, William convened parliament, which passed necessary laws to recognize the success of the revolution. Most politicians who were against the leadership of James II saw him as a source of instability for the country. They believed that by ousting James II, they would take back the society where it belonged in the days of status quo and when Protestant faith was guaranteed without political interference.
In a bid to acknowledge his rule, parliament passed the December 1688 Bill of Rights, which decaled that James had resigned and the crown passed to William and his heirs. However, this unity to overthrow James and install William and Mary was not to last forever. There was disagreement on the procedure to run the monarch, leading to the splitting of politicians who were previously united under James II. One faction of the divide recognized Mary as the only legal heir to the throne since she was of the same lineage. Even though many years had elapsed after the rule of Charles I, there are people who held him with high regard as the monarch even though this was not as an individual. On the other hand, strict legitimists opined that William was the only recognized family member as he was ruling in the absence of the monarch.
William from Holland was a staunch and respected Protestant leader. He was also unhappy with the discontent and threatened to go back to Holland if he was denied full royal powers. Because of the turmoil and the fear of experiencing military rule in England, no one welcome the idea as it would have created a political vacuum, which no one supported. However, a few leaders from the Whig party argued that it was necessary to give the people a chance to choose who to become the monarch, without dividing the nation along political ideologies and leadership inclination. However, the Bill of Right, which empowered William in December 1688, forbade the monarch from being a Catholic and from marrying a Catholic too. The legislation further handed excess power to power, a turning point that historians view as the origin of constitutional monarchy. For instance, prerogative courts like the Ecclesiastical Commission were abolished. The law further recognized parliament as the only authority allowed to raise taxes.
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What is antibacterial resistance? This occurs when an antibiotic can no longer control or kill bacterial growth effectively. In other words, the bacteria develop a mechanism not to respond to the drug and continue multiplying despite the presence of healing levels of the recommended antibiotic. Antibiotic resistance is one of the major challenges facing medics and pharmacists as the trend continues to escalate among the world population. In this essay, we explain the concept of antibiotic resistance, including global facts and trends, causes, and possible control measures.
According to the World Health Organization, WHO, antibiotic resistance is a threat to the health of people in the world as it affects effective prevention and treatment of infections, caused by microorganisms like bacteria, fungi, parasites, and viruses. Because of the magnitude of this problem, it requires the attention and efforts of every government through action-oriented measures. In addressing the issue of antibiotic resistance, it is worth noting that the problem cuts across the whole world and no single country is safe even though the levels of this kind of resistance may vary from nation to nation because of different factors. When new resistance mechanisms emerge, they quickly spread to the rest of the world, making it a global problem.
By the year 2012, there were about 450,000 new of multidrug-resistant TB, and Extensively drug-resistance TB has been identified in 92 countries of the world. Patients who develop MDR TB always require extensive and prolonged treatment as compared to those who do not have any resistance towards TB drugs. Resistance against anti-malaria drugs is highly prevalent across the globe especially in countries that are malaria stricken. This has forced the adoption of new drugs, different from what the past generation used to deal with scourge.
Unknown to most people in the world, antibiotic resistance occurs naturally. Normally, when an antibiotic is applied on bacteria, there are those that resist its effects and survive while others are highly susceptible and either die or their action inhibited. As a result, there is selective pressure on the survival of bacteria in a patient’s body. Importantly, not all antibiotic resistance cases are induced by human beings. For example, some resistance cases are natural as bacteria may generate and use antibiotics to attack competing bacteria in human body, leading to low level of natural selection for drug resistance.
Nonetheless, experts attribute the skyrocketing levels of antibiotic resistance to overuse and abuse of drugs in the market. In most countries of the world today, it is possible to purchase antibiotics over the counter without the prescription of a doctor. This is worsened by the massive use of the internet where the public can order drugs online without any prescription. In some cases, which could also be common and shocking on a large scale, patients use antibiotics unnecessarily to deal with viral infections like common cold. While this is the case, there are bacteria, which are naturally resistant to specific types of antibiotics. Other common ways of acquiring this resistance is through genetic mutation and acquisition of resistance from other bacterium.
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Will to Believe
The Will to Believe asserts the adoption of a belief without prior evidence of its truth. The philosophy is mainly about defending the rationality of religious faith even lacking sufficient evidence of religious truth. It aims at the justification of faith, a defense of our right to adopt a believing attitude in religious matters, in spite of the fact that our merely logical intellect may not have been coerced. According The Will to Believe is a lecture that was first published by William James in 1896.
The central argument of William James in this lecture touches on the idea that access to the evidence for whether or not some beliefs are true depends on crucially upon first adopting the those beliefs without evidence. For instance, James urges that it can be rational to have unsupported faith in one’s ability to accomplish tasks that require confidence. Importantly, James points out that this is the case even for pursuing scientific inquiry. Besides, he further argues that like belief in one’s own ability to accomplish a difficult task, religious faith can also be rational even if one at time lacks evidence for the truth of one’s religious belief.
In the opening statements, James points out that most free thinking people do not usually believe that one should have religious faith since it cannot be rationally demonstrated. James believes differently. One is that faith is sensible, though not rationally demanded. He argues that one does not choose his or her beliefs but just has them. He further defends this this claim with a series of examples focusing on how we could not choose to believe things which we know to be false, such as that Abraham Lincoln did not live or that you are not sick when you are not sick when you are.
According to James, we often look towards leaders and the authorities, and model our beliefs after theirs. We believe and do not know why; we often accept what we have been told. Despite the length to which he discusses free will, but he is not too clear on this point. It should be noted that there are passional tendencies and violations which can come before and after a belief. Most importantly, James argues that like belief in one’s own ability to accomplish a difficult task, religious faith can also be rational even if one at the time lacks evidence for the truth of one’s religious beliefs.
In order to understand well the Will to Believe, James proposes that one needs to apply abstract and concrete way of thinking. In terms of abstract, we have the right to believe at our own risk any hypothesis that is alive enough to tempt our will. In a concrete way of thinking, the freedom to believe can only cover living options which the intellect cannot through itself resolve; and living options never seem absurdities to him who has them to consider. On conclusion, James points out that whether we choose to believe or not to believe, or wait to believe, we choose our own peril, our own fate.
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Problem of Free Will
Before moving on to define what the problem of free will is all about, it is important to begin by defining what free will is. Free will is defined as a philosophical term of art for a particular sort of capacity of rational agents to choose a course of action from a variety of alternatives. Different people have varied definitions of free will that only leads to further confusion to the underlying problem of free will.
Since the beginning of the Problem of Free Will, it has been intimately connected to the question of moral obligation or responsibility. Most of the ancient thinkers on the problem were trying to point out that we humans have control over the decisions that we make, that our actions are dependent on us, and that they are not determined in prior by fate, arbitrary gods, logical necessity, or even natural causal.
The Problem of Free Will has often been described as a question of reconciling, ‘free will’ with one or more of the various kinds of determinism. As a result of this, the problem is based on two things, the exact definition of free will and which among the various determinisms is being reconciled. The standard argument against free will is that it cannot possibly be reconciled with either determinism or randomness, and that these two exhaust the logical possibilities.
The ideal Problem of Free Will is to reconcile an element of freedom with the apparent determinism in a world of causes and effects, a world where events occur following a great causal chain. Determinists are against such freedom while compatibilists redefine freedom. Even though our will is determined by prior events in the causal chain, it is in turn causing and determining how we act. According to compatibilists, determinism by our will allows us to take moral responsibility for every action that we commit.
Libertarians think that the will is free when a choice can be made that is not determined or necessitated by events that took place in prior. The will is free when alternative choice could have been made with similar pre-existing conditions. Freedom of the will allows a person to say, ‘’I could have chosen (and done) otherwise.’’
The most recent debate on the Problem of Free Will uses a taxonomy of positions that has caused a great deal of confusion, mostly linguistic and partly logical. Instead of directly tackling the models of free will, the debate is carried out indirectly. According to most philosophers, determinism is viewed as the greatest threat to free will. For example, in Joe Campbell’s book titled, ‘Free Will’, he describes the problem of free will as the free will dilemma. According to him, the central problem can be summed up as:
- If determinism is true, then no one has free will
- If indeterminism is true, then no one has free will.
- Thus, no one has free will.
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Free Will and Determinism
The Problem of free will is one that has been debated for centuries. According to some people, their belief is that humans have the capacity for free will; the ability to choose their actions without being coerced to follow a particular channel by either the influence of others or by natural laws. For most theists, free will is regarded as a special gift from God. The notion of human free will is also an important premise for a lot of what happens in human society- especially when it comes to our legal apparatus.
Other people on the other hand, argue that if the universe itself is deterministic in nature, then human actions must also be deterministic. Hence, modern determinism tends to be an extension of modern science. If human actions simply follow the course of natural law, then it is difficult to hold that those actions can be chosen freely. The advocates for determinism run into some sort of contradiction, however, when they try to argue their point with those who propose free will. If it’s true that nothing is chosen freely, then those who believe in the existence of free will do not do so by choice. As a result of this, it would make no difference trying to convince anyone of anything if all events are determined.
When debating between the problem of free will and determinism, it is important to note that both terms tend to be defined in such a way as to explicitly exclude the other. The philosophical position of compatibility argues that these concepts do not need to be defined in such a mutually exclusive manner. In fact, both free will and determinism can be compatible.
For the theist, the problem of free will and determinism is slightly different. Instead of wondering if natural laws mean that human actions are all determined, the theist must also ask whether o not their god has in advance, determined all events in the universe, including their own. If so, that will mean that their ultimate fate will be determined. This position was adopted most completely and explicitly by John Calvin, a Reform theologian. He argued that some people are pre-destined to be saved and some are predestined to be damned, and there is absolutely nothing that any person can possibly do about it.
On conclusion, it should be noted that if determinism is true, then our acts are the consequences of the laws of nature and events in the remote past. However, it is not up to us what took place before we were born, neither is it up to us what the laws of nature are. Besides, if no one is morally responsible for any state of affairs, then there is no such thing as moral responsibility. It should be noted that pure determinism and free will approach does not seem appropriate when studying human behavior. Even though people do have a choice, their behavior is always subject to some sort of biological or environmental pressure.
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The Problem of Evil
The Problem of Evil is a philosophy of religion that states that the existence of evil in the world is a strong argument against the existence of God. This philosophy is the greatest obstacle to the belief in the existence of God. Looking at the extent and depth of suffering in the world, whether due to inhumanity of man to fellow men or to natural disasters, some people find it hard to believe in the existence of God. However, how can one be sure that God does not exist?
The Problem of Evil mainly seeks to question how to reconcile the existence of evil with that of a deity who is, in either absolute or relative terms described as omniscient, omnibenevolent and omnipotent. An argument from evil tries to point out that the co-existence of evil and such a deity is unlikely or impossible if put in absolute terms.
There are quite a number of responses that different people have been given to the Problem of Evil. These include the explanation that the act of creation by God as expressed in the Pentateuch and act of judgment by God are similar acts. The condemnation of evil by God is believed to be executed and expressed in his created world. It is a judgment that can never be topped due to God’s all powerful, elf-originated will, a constant and eternal judgment that shall be announced and communicated to people on Judgment Day. Based on this explanation, God is viewed as good since his judgment of evil is a good one.
The problem of evil can be simply stated as, If God is so good, why is his world so bad? If an all-good, all-wise, all-loving, all-just and all-powerful God is in control, why does he seem to be doing such a miserable job of not protecting all equally? Why is it that bad things happen to good people who fear him? These are some of the questions that have made many people to abandon their faith. According to studies, the Problem of Evil is the main reason why a number of people abandon their faith to even become atheists.
The Problem of Evil is certainly the greatest test of faith, the greatest temptation to unbelief. Besides, it is not just an intellectual objection. It is something that believers can feel, they live it. That is the reason why most people who have read the Book of Job in the Holy Bible have found it to be more arresting.
According to atheists, God cannot have morally sufficient reasons to permit the evil in the world. But this assumption is not necessarily true. Provided that it is possible that God has morally sufficient reasons for permitting evil, it then follows that God and Evil are logically consistent. Even though this may also not seem to be logically possible, at least it can be reported that it has been widely agreed among contemporary philosophers that the logical problem of evil has been dissolved. It is logically possible for God and evil to co-exist.
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The Principal-agent problem is a specific game-theoretic description of a situation whereby there is a player called the principal and, one or more other players known as agents. The two parties in this situation have utility functions that are in a way different from one another. Principal-agent problem can be said to arise when one party (agent) agrees to work in the favor of another party (principal) in return for some incentives. Such an agreement may be very costly for the agent, thus, leading to the problems of conflicts of interest and moral hazards. Based on the costs incurred, the agent might start to pursue his own agenda, ignoring the best interest of the principal, hence causing the principal-agent problem.
The costs incurred by the agent and the subsequent conflict of interest come about due to the skewed information symmetry and the risk of failure faced by the principal. For instance, shareholders of a company conduct the appointment of managers to look after the proceedings of the company and earn profits on their behalf. The shareholders expect the managers to undertake the distribution of profit to shareholders. However, the managers realizing their own growth and salary expectation try to retain the profits for the future in order to be on the safe side. Such a practice can lead to principal-agent problem.
Today, the principal-agent problem is s common occurrence in most large corporations. The main area where the problem originates is that, the incentives to the agent are not necessarily going to lead to the behavior which best interests the principal. What is in the best interests of the management is not necessarily similar to what is in the best interests of the shareholders. In the case of large corporations, the shareholders are the principals while the management is the agents.
The problem comes up where the two parties (principal and agent) have different interests and asymmetric information (the agent is highly informed than the principal), such that the principal is not able to directly ensure that the agent is always acting in its (principal’s) best interest. Especially when activities that are of value to the principal are costly to the agent, and where elements of what the agent does are expensive to the principal. Concerns of the principal in such a case are based on the possibility of being exploited by the agent that he chooses not to get into any transaction at all, when the deal would have actually been in the interest of both parties.
There are various avenues that can be pursued in aligning the interests of the agent with those of the principal. In an employment scenario, employers (principal) may use mechanisms like profit sharing, piece rates/ commissions, efficiency wages, the threat of terminating the employment of affected employees, performance measurement among others. Cash bonuses for meeting certain targets are yet other avenues that can be pursued towards combating the principal-agent problem.
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The Original Position is a hypothetical situation that was developed by John Rawls, an American philosopher as a thought experiment applied in replacement of the imagery of a savage state of nature of prior political philosophers like Thomas Hobbes. In this situation, the parties select principles that will determine the basic structure of the society they will live in. This choice is made from behind a curtain of ignorance, which would deprive participants of information about their particular characteristics; a person’s ethnicity, social status, gender and, most important, Conception of the Good (an individual’s idea of how to lead a good life) This places the participants under the limitation to select principles impartially and rationally.
Basically, the idea of the original position goes to back to political philosophers who posited an original state of nature, where humans came together and made a social contract for their benefit. Instead of supposing this to be a historical situation, Rawls makes it a thought experiment. He asks us to suppose that each one of us had no idea who we are, where we are from, our placement in society, what class we belong to, how much money we have, what race or culture we come from, what religion we believe in, what code of ethics we follow, ho we want to live our life among other things. He asks us to pretend that we had none of that.
With regards to a source experiment, the original position is a hypothetical position that is designed to accurately reflect the kind of principles of justice that would be manifested in a society premised on free and fair cooperation between citizens, including respect for liberty, and an interest in reciprocity.
In the state of nature, it can be argued that the strong and talented type of persons would be able to push the weak and disabled by virtue of the fact that the stronger and more talented would cope better in the state of nature. This form of coercion is sometimes thought to validate any contractual arrangement that occurs in the state of nature. In this hypothetical position, however, representatives of citizens are placed in vacuum, whereby they are deprived of information about the individuating traits of the citizens that they represent.
Now if supposedly, a bunch of people who are exactly the same as in the respect illustrated above were coming together to figure out the principles to base society on, would there be anything substantial to be expected? This is what the original position is all about, a position of ‘’blind justice’’, where there is no bias towards one’s station in life. According to most people, blind justice is the best form of justice. Thus, the principles that the individuals in this position would agree upon are the principles of justice. However, it should be noted that even in such a society, there are people who will have to reject the idea of original position, or the principles that would be agreed to.
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A moral hazard is a concept that says that people will take risks if they have incentives that allow them to do so. The idea is that people might ignore the moral implications of the choices that they make. Instead, they pursue the avenues that they think are of the greatest benefits to them. Moral hazard is a concept that is applied in the insurance industry. In essence, it is applied in insurance to suggest that when an individual or group, or even state is insured, it may take greater risks than if they are not insured.
A number of people understand well, the trade-off that exists between risk and reward in that, when one takes risks, there may be consequences. However, he or she may also be rewarded. For many, it is morality that keeps them away from taking risks. They know that they can get away with taking risks; however, they do not feel that it is the right thing to do. For instance, you might get unlimited car insurance on your rental car. This creates a moral hazard. In case you are driving through the mountains, you may not worry about banging it up on rough roads or scratching it up in thick brush. You can be reckless in driving since any damage is another person’s problems and not yours. Moral hazard states that the more you feel protected against risks, the more temptations you have.
Moral hazard is also important for lenders since you might borrow money to buy something like a home and fail to repay, your credit will have to suffer. This means that you will not find it easier to borrow in future, and you may also have to pay higher interest rates. Besides, you may even have problems in getting a job or insurance cover when you are in need.
According to most economists, moral hazard is a special case of information asymmetry whereby on party in a transaction has got more information than the other. Particularly, moral hazard may occur if a party that is shielded from risk has more information about its actions and intentions than the party paying for the negative results of the risk. Moral hazard occurs when the party that has got more information concerning its actions or intentions has a habit or incentive of behaving inappropriately from the perspective of the party with little information.
Apart from just in the insurance industry, the term moral hazard can also be used in other situations. One of such situations is that state provision of free healthcare may encourage poor individual healthcare, like following poor diet, excessive alcohol consumption or smoking. Another situation is that, students who pay for private education may believe that this offers an insurance against failing exams, and end up not working hard as students who are in enrolled in state education. The early usage of moral hazard bore negative connotations that implied fraud or immoral behavior mainly on the part of the insured.
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Information asymmetry is a situation whereby one party in a transaction has got more or superior information compared to another. Such situations often exist in transactions where the seller is more knowledgeable than the buyer, although the reverse can also happen as well. Information asymmetry situation could be very harmful owing to the fact that one party can take advantage of another’s ignorance to undertake certain undesirable practices or measures.
The advancement in technology has today been helpful in lowering information asymmetry. In fact, it has been on the decline since a significant number of people are being able to easily gain access to all types of information. However, there are two main problems that are likely to result from information asymmetry that you should take note of. These problems are adverse selection and moral hazard. Adverse selection is an immoral behavior that takes advantage of asymmetric information before a transaction. Moral hazard on the other hand, refers to an immoral behavior that takes advantage of asymmetric information after a transaction.
Moral hazard and adverse selection are the two models of information asymmetry. In adverse selection, the ignorant party lacks information while negotiating an agreed understanding of or contact to the transaction. However, in moral hazard, the ignorant party lacks information about performance of the transaction agreed upon or lacks the ability for retaliation in case the agreement is breached. An example of adverse selection is when people who are at high risk of certain conditions are more likely to purchase insurance, since the insurance company is unable to effectively discriminate against them, usually as a result of lack of information about the particular risk of the individual and also sometimes by law or other constraints.
An example of moral hazard is when people have higher chances of behaving recklessly after becoming insured, either because the insurance company cannot observe their behaviors or unable to effectively retaliate against it, for instance through failing to renew the insurance.
In George Akerlof’s classic paper on adverse selection titled, ‘The Market of Lemons’ (1970), he discussed two primary solutions to the problem of information asymmetry. These solutions are signaling and screening. Signaling was an idea primarily proposed by Michael Spence. He proposed that in a situation of information asymmetry, it is possible for people to signal their type, thus, believably transferring information to the other party and resolving the bias in information.
Screening was pioneered by Joseph E. Stiglitz. According to him, the less informed party can induce the other party to reveal the information. They can offer a variety of choices in such a way that the choice depends on the private information on the other party. Some of the situations where the seller usually has sufficient information than the buyer include mortgage brokers, used car salespeople, stock brokers, and real estate agents among others. Buyers on the other hand, can also have adequate information than sellers in situations like estate sales, life insurance, sale or old art pieces without prior assessment of their value by a professional.
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Greek Debt Crisis
The Greek debt crisis started way back in 2009 and is still on course to date. During this period, quite a number of changes have taken place in Greece. Just to mention a few of the changes, the income of the Greeks has been significantly reduced, the political situation has also taken a different twist, rate of unemployed has increased, the country is marred by frequent protests and riots.
The Greek debt crisis is part of the ongoing Euro zone crisis that was triggered by the arrival of the Global economic recession in October 2008. It is believed to have been directly caused by a combination of structural weaknesses of the economy of Greece along with a decade pre-existence structural deficits and debt-to-GDP levels on public funds that are overly high. In late 2009, investors began developing fears of a sovereign debt crisis concerning the ability of Greece to meet its debt obligations, as a result of a reported strong increase in the levels of government debts. This further led to a crisis of confidence whose indications were the widening of bond yield spreads and the cost of risk insurance on credit default changes compared to the other nations in the Euro zone.
The Greek debt crisis highlights the dilemma that other countries that are heavily indebted also face. Even as the leaders of the European Union are struggling to come to an agreement on a resolution, Greece has triggered the debt crisis in the entire Euro zone, threatening even the viability of the European Union.
The Greek debt crisis came to the attention of the world in 2009 when Greece admitted that its budget deficit would be 12.9% of the country’s GDP. This is more than four times the European Union’s 3% limit. In efforts to pass across a warning of the looming crisis to investors, Fitch, Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s resorted to lowering the credit ratings of Greece. However, this only drove up the cost of future loans, making it more unlikely that Greece could find the funds to pay back its debts.
In 2010, Greece announced an austerity package, which was designed to reassure the agencies that it was fiscally responsible by cutting down the deficit to 3% f GDP b y 2012. However, this hit a deadlock since the country gave out a warning just four months later that it would default. In return for austerity measures, the IMF and EU have already provided a total of 240 billion Euros in emergency funding. Contrary to the expectations of many, these measures only further slowed down the economy of Greece, reducing the tax revenues required to repay the debts.
The funding that Greece received only gave the country sufficient money to pay interest on its debt and keep banks capitalized and barely running. As a result, unemployment rates went up to 25%, the political system was in upheaval since votes now turned to anyone who promised to pave a way out with riots and protests taking center stage.
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Adverse selection is a term that is mostly applied in the insurance industry to refer to a phenomenon wherein the insurer is confronted with the probability of loss due to risk that was not factored in at the time of sale. This happens in the event of an asymmetrical movement of information between the insured and the insurer. Adverse selection occurs when the insured deliberately decides to hide certain pertinent information from the insurer. The information may be very critical in nature as they help in ascertaining the risk profile of the insured party and also assist in determining the correct premiums.
Non-disclosure of the information which affects the life of the insured can lead to confusion during the calculation of premiums, thus loss to the insurance company since the insurer will not find it easy to conduct a prudent asset liability management owing to payment of more claims than the premiums received. Thus, insurers try to encourage people who are healthier to buy coverage unlike those with pre-existing conditions.
In order to counter the impacts of adverse selection, insurance companies today tend to ask a variety of questions and may even request medical and other reports on people who apply to purchase insurance so that the price that is quoted can be accordingly varied, and highly unpredictable risks eliminated. This process of selection of risks is known as underwriting. In many countries, insurance laws incorporate the doctrine of Utmost good faith which requires that if the person who is seeking insurance cover fails to answer the underwriting questions honestly, the insurer may refuse to pay claims later on.
There are quite a number of reasons why adverse selection might be muted in practice. One of them is that the underwriting of insurers is largely effective. Another possible reason is the negative correlation between risk aversions like the willingness to buy insurance. It can be simply put that, if risk aversion is higher among lower risk customers, to an extent that people who are less likely to take part in risk-increasing behavior are more likely to engage in risk-decreasing behavior, adverse selection can be reduced or even reversed.
An ideal example can be like, there is evidence that smokers are often more willing to undertake risky jobs compared to non-smokers. This greater willingness to accept risk might lower the chances of insurance purchase by smokers. From the viewpoint of a public policy, certain adverse selection can also be advantageous because it may lead to a higher fraction of total losses for the entire population that is being covered by insurance than if adverse selection never existed.
Even though adverse selection theoretically seems to be an obvious and inevitable consequence of economic incentives, the empirical evidence is mixed. A number of studies investigating the correlations that exist between risk and insurance purchase have not been able to show predicted positive correlation for life insurance, health insurance and auto insurance.
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Safavid Empire was the most significant ruling dynasties of Persia-modern Iran- and is considered the start of modern Persian history. They ruled the greatest Persian empires after Muslim conquest of Persia. The Islamic Empire had the strength and ability to challenge Ottomans in the West and Mughals in the East.
- The empire lasted from 1501 through to 1722
- It covered Iran, parts of Georgia and Turkey
- The Empire was a theocracy
- State of religion in the Safavid Empire was Shi’a Islam
- Other forms of Islam and religions were suppressed
- The economic strength of the Empire came from its strategic location which was on trade routes
- Iran was made the center of architecture, philosophy, poetry and art as a result of the Empire
- Isfahan, the capital is the most beautiful city in the world
- The key figures in the empire were Isma’il I and Abbas I
- The decline of the empire was as a result of corruption and complacency.
Origin of the Empire
The founders of the empire were the Safavids, a Sufi order that dates back to Safi al Din (1252-1334. Safi al-Din converted to Shi’ism and became a Persian nationalist. Safavid brotherhood was initially a religious group and over the centuries that followed, it became stronger attracting political marriages and local warlords. In the 15th century, it became a military group as well as a religious one.
Many people were attracted by the allegiance the brotherhood had to Ali and the ‘Hidden Imam’. Also, during the 15th century, the brotherhood became military aggressive thus waging a Jihad (Islamic holy war) against parts of what is currently known as Georgia and Turkey. The Empire dates back to the rule of Shah Islmail (who ruled from 1501 to 1524). In 1501, the Shahs declared independence when Ottomans outlawed Shi’a Islam within their territory.
Safavid Empire was strengthened through the important Shi’a soldiers from Ottoman army fleeing persecution. When Safavids came into power, Shah Ismail was proclaimed the ruler. By 1510, the Empire had already conquered the entire region of Iran.
The most important decisions made by the Safavid Empire when it came into power was declaring the state religion as Shi’ism. At that time, the religion was completely new to the Iranian culture but the Safavids launched a vigorous campaign that was aimed at converting what was predominantly a population of Sunni by persuasion and at times, they even used force. The Sunni Ulama which was a religious council of wise men was forced to flee and those who stayed were killed.
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Safavid Empire was based in Persia (now known as Iran) and it ruled over a large portion of Southwestern Asia from 1501 through to 1736. Members of the Empire were of Kurdish Persian descent and part of the unique Sufi-infused order known as Safaviyya.
At the height of the Empire, the dynasty controlled not only Iran, Azerbaijan and Armenia but it also had control over most of Iraq, Caucasus, Georgia and Afghanistan. In addition to this, it also had control over parts of Pakistan, Tajikistan, Turkey and Turkmenistan.
- January 1, 1501-Safavid Empire is founded by Ismail I and he declares himself the Shah of Azerbaijan.
- 1507-The island of Hormuz is taken over by the Portuguese
- 1508-Baghdad is conquered by Ismail
- November 12, 1508-The Al-Kazimiyyah Shrine which was built in 799 original is reconstructed
- 1510-Shah Ismail had conquered the all of Iran by this time
- 1514-Ottomans attack causing breakout of a war in what came to be known as the Battle of Chaldiran west of Tabriz
- 1555-Safavid and Ottomans declare peace
- 1587 to1629-Shah Abbas begins his reign at the age of sixteen.
- November 12, 1611-Under the rule of Abbas I, the Shaj Mosque is built and during his rule, he built several mosques.
- 1598-The capital is moved from Tabriz to Isfahan. Mashhad and Heart are also recaptured the same year.
- 1609 to 1610-The war between the Kurdish tribes and the Ottoman’s begins
- 1638-Truce is made between Safavid and the Ottomans
- 1666-This makes the start of the Safavid empire decline
- November 12, 1694-The downfall of Safavid Empire is witnessed under the rule of Husayn
- 1722-Safavid is invaded and taken over by the Afghans. The Hotaki Dynasty invades Safavid and the Empire is beaten though later, it regains control.
- 1723- This marks the collapse of the empire.
- November 12, 1736-By the turn of the 17th century, Safavid was facing a large number of enemies and in 1736, the empire was disestablished.
Despite the demise of the Safavid Empire in 1736, the legacy the Empire left behind was revival of Persia as the economic stronghold between the West and East. In addition to this, they also left behind the establishment of bureaucracy and efficient state based upon ‘balances and checks’, their patronage of fine arts and architectural innovations. Safavid also left its mark on the present era by spreading Shi’a Islam in Iran and major ports such as Central Asia, Caucasus, South Asia and Anatolia.
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